Source favicon23:18 鳝丝是女的,鳝片是男的! » 刘润

是谁说MBA学不到东西的?

数据、模型和决策》的周老师在讲到概率的时候,告诉我们,在赌场,21点是赌徒赢率最高的赌法;诺贝尔奖获得者证明世界上没有真正公平的选举;拍卖的方法决定了拍卖是“赢者的灾难”;幸福感和财富无关,但是和邻居的财富却非常相关。提到男女的比率时候,顺便提到鳝鱼小的时候是雌的,长大了就变成雄的了。于是总结说:所以,鳝丝是女的,鳝片是男的!

在谈到人是非理性的时候,她讲了一个老人和小孩的故事。

老人家门口有一片公共草地,老人非常享受安静的在草地上享受阳光。可是某一天开始,一群小孩开始来草地上玩,非常吵闹。老人心里很想把这群小孩赶走,但是这草地毕竟是公共设施。老人知道,越是赶这些孩子走,他们会来玩的更开心。怎么办呢?老人想了一个办法。他对这些小孩子说“小朋友们,你们明天继续来玩吧,只要你们来,我就给你们一人1美元!”这群小孩子喜出望外,于是第二天又来了。这样几天之后,老人说“孩子们,我不能再给你们1美元了。我只能给你们每人0.5美元了。”孩子们有些不悦,但是也接受了。又过了几天,老人说“从明天开始,我只能给你们每人5美分了。”孩子们说“5美分太少了,以后我们再也不来了!”

这个老人太厉害了。他成功的把孩子们来玩的理由从“喜欢”变成了“金钱”,再把“金钱”拿走,消灭了他们来玩的兴趣。太可怕了。

Source favicon22:29 合资公司的Logo设计 » 大学小容

Tags=,,

下周开始小容要到四川去工作一段时间,应该要5月才会回到福州。这一周忙着整理资料、行李和电脑数据。

在整理电脑数据的时候,看了看电脑里的旧数据,积累了很多年的资料,包括一些早些年的电子邮件。摘录一篇放在这里。

时间是2002年11月27日7:50,小容给一位来信请教CI问题的朋友回复了这份邮件,她所在的公司和一家网站建立了一家合资企业,公司内部市场研究部(调研)计划于第二天上午前以小组座谈形式完成三个LOGO设计方案的探讨,这位朋友来信问小容(那时候的网名叫剑公子):

有三个LOGO设计方案,想问你都需要从哪些方面、角度去考察和选择呢?有些什么样的标准?如LOGO的图形构成、颜色搭配、文字、字体与图形、颜色的搭配、联想等方面?

小容的回复如下:

Source favicon20:22 Hot Articles in 2002 to 2005 » Wangjianshuo's blog
This is a list of my previous entries in the year 2002, 2003, 2004, and 2005 that receives more than 10 comments. It is tiring to read the list one by one - I was not able to read through the year of 2002 myself. It is only the hottest entry with many participation (11 or more comments), just part of the archive. What an effort to create then one by one. :-D It is the demonstration of how much...
Source favicon20:15 再次"遇到" PETER MURPHY » DBA notes
昨天在 VeryCD 上找音乐, 偶然发现Peter Murphy 的专辑《Wild Birds 1985-1995》, 仔细一看关于歌手介绍的部分: 是的,Peter Murphy ,这个包豪斯(Bauhaus)的前主唱,哥特音乐的曾经代表人物 最开始注意到这个人是因为听说窦唯曾经非常推崇彼得,甚至卧室中贴满了包豪斯的海报,窦唯最为人称道的《黑梦》更是充满了Peter Murphy的影子,从音乐的形式,内容,唱法,无不非常相似--虽然窦唯自己否认这样的看法。 不过窦唯后来为了摆脱Peter Murphy的影响,曾经把自己收藏的所有的关于包豪斯和Peter的CD都抛入了河中--那是后来的事情了。 再到后来,我们听到了窦唯的云雾缭绕的新民乐....... 我最早听Peter Murphy还是有一次去青岛,GF领着我去当地的一家音像店,那个老板很明显是比较识货的人,记得那次还找到了好多喜欢听的东西 Peter Murphy ,那微有震颤的嗓音。 Faint ,居然是我多年前的一则 Blog 内容: 想起了PETER MURPHY . 被不知哪个音乐爱好者原封不动贴过来了. 再次用 Google 搜索一下内容, 发现这几句话被很多地方都贴过.一则 Blog 就是这样悄无声息的被传播喽,稍稍有点惊讶.
Source favicon16:52 Fun and games on the Internet in China » Danwei RSS 1.0

Louisa Lim of NPR recently did a two piece radio story on blogs and podcasting and online video in China:

- In China, Blogs Are Revolutionary Tool of Opinion
- Podcasters Push the Limits in China

The former contains sound bites from yours truly. The latter includes an interview with Hu Ge, creator of the spoof film that so annoyed Chen Kaige recently and an interview with Mu Zimei (muzimei / Muzi Mei) about her porno podcasts.

For more on blocked-not-blocked blogs in China, read ESWN's translations and commentary:

LWang Yi's microphone (about a blog about sensitive topics)
The Great Massage Milk Hoax
The Massage Milk archive

Source favicon15:55 a few things and an outage » del.icio.us
We've just released a few small features -- inline editing, so you can edit and arrange your bookmarks much more quickly, and we've prettied up the URL info page so it is easier to get at the conversation around...
Source favicon11:11 作为网络延伸的电脑 » Blog on 27th Floor
前几天Google搞了一个分析日,畅谈了今后的美好前景,给出了1000亿的公司,95亿收入的vision(这个后来声明不是正式的),第2天股价就往上走了。这件事说明,上市也未必都是什么好事。股票就是投机用的,他们看中的是未来,看中的是800%的增长率,如果只有80%的增长,他们就要骂人,如果只有个位数的增长率,那他们就不玩了。中国股市连总理都说不出个所以然来,微微一笑,飘然离去,其中深义,股民想必比我清楚地多了。

当然,这次投资商分析会上最重大的消息仍然是里面透露出Google有推出GDrive的计划(或者叫LightHouse?),就是要全面存储用户数据,从电子邮件、数字照片、浏览历史、书签等等,并可以从任何地方,用任何设备进行访问。其他的内容,可以看未完成的介绍,也可以下载PDF

这个PPT(下不到最原始的,这里下载的也没有备注了)里面的备注说明(这个Blog上有人贴了其中的备注文字,很有趣。Hide过了),Google认为这样可以降低客户机的重要性,增强对微软的战略优势,同时对用户也极具价值。

微软已经被许多分析家认为是Google的最强有力的对手,这个暂且不谈。但尽可能把活动移动到网上,从而降低对客户机的依赖,确实对用户是个好事。这次硬盘出坏道丢失文件再次加强了我的这一感觉。实际上在重装Debian的过程中,也完全离不开网络了。

首先Debian是个网络发行版,虽然它有DVD或14张CD可用,但要想用最新的软件,就只有连上网才行。而装机用的启动盘,我手上最新的居然也是04年的,不支持160G的大硬盘,只好又去下了新的网络安装盘(BT在这里真是个好技术);装上基本系统,装基本的软件,然后就面临各种配置文件的问题,我把它们都放在Gmail里了,连上网,一个个拷贝回来;当然也发生了备份时考虑不周,interfaces文件没备,自己做的Java Deb包太大没办法备,也只好再挂上破硬盘来拷贝,可惜,坏道是会蔓延的,Java那个包已经拷贝不出了。

我听说有牛人拿专门的邮箱装一些常用小软件,像zip,ftp,以便采用四海一家的解决方案时下载使用。

除去这些,个人的一些重要数据也要保存。我的本科论文,当年刻光盘还不太流行,就装在4张3寸盘上,大概3年后我再看时,已经有2张读不出来,基本算是毁了,只好留个打印版吧。光盘也同样不可靠,Dvorak曾经多次说过这个问题,厂商宣称的50年100年基本是胡扯,我98年刻的10几块一张的盘2年前就读不了了。

看上去也就硬盘可靠些,可它还会坏,坏了还不好修,个人又难以用上很专业的存储系统,所以这件事大的公司来做实在是比较合适的,而现在的网络已经基本上具备了这个能力。

还有如果在不同的地点工作,而又需要另外地点的文件的话,现在可以拿移动硬盘或是装个远程访问来解决;但是移动硬盘可能会漏拷了某个文件、远程访问也不是太容易搞(要求独立IP的就更难了),现在看来网络存储也许是更好的方法。

当然个人隐私是这里最值得考虑的问题,Google一直反抗美国DOJ的要求,把个个数据移出中国,也不完全出于理想主义,出于生意上的考虑可能更强悍些吧。其他一些随便就合作的公司,或者技术手段不完备,随便让人吃上米粉的IM,在这个应用上也自然就不值得考虑了。

最重要的材料还是不能上网(其实它们根本不应该被记录,更不用说被电子记录了),但一般的东西,包括小软件,机器配置文件或备注,一些普通文件,我肯定会乐意把它们放到网上去,把本地存储只当成一个“临时的Cache”(Google说的)。这样,重要的东西就变成了网络,全世界的电脑都可以是自己的电脑,电脑就成了网络的延伸,而不是相反

据说也有一个Firefox的在线存储计划,如果能把扩展和配置存到网上就太好了。

当然啦,这个故事其实主要是告诉我们,在公开信息时,除了不能用DOC格式,也不能用PPT格式,如果你没有认真检查的话,它们都会在你不经意的时候保存一些额外的信息。现在Google页面上可以下载的已经是PDF了。
Source favicon10:16 无效点击 Google 帮助中心 » del.icio.us/chedong
Google 将哪些类型的点击视为无效点击?
Source favicon09:55 Demographic profiling used on AdSense publisher sites for site targeting » JenSense - Making Sense of Contextual Advertising
Google AdWords released demographic profiling for site targeted campaigns today, meaning that AdSense publisher sites are now profiled based on a specific set of demographic criteria with data provided by comScore Networks. When selecting a site targeted campaign, advertisers have...
Source favicon09:47 本周和下周搜索引擎沙龙取消 » 搜索引擎研究

今晚的聚会因故取消,下周因为我在南京出差,因此也暂停。不便之处敬请谅解。

卢亮

Source favicon08:27 改变世界的聊天室 » blog中文翻译
原文地址:Chat Room That Built the World By Robert Andrews Nov. 01, 2005 PT 近几年最具颠覆性的软件发明中,有很多软件的初始开发不是在硅谷或者高科技大学中,而是在线聊天室进行的。 许多高技术产业中的人士已经认识到一系列重要技术的产生都可以追溯到一个 IRC(Internet Relay Chat) 聊天频道, #Winprog 。 在过去的十几年中,这个 IRC 频道已经成为软件开发者的摇篮。它帮助 Shawn Fanning 改进早期版本的 Napster ,为 Gnutella 的开发者 Justin Frankel 编写 Winamp 出谋划策。 IRC 频道成员说这个频道已经成为 Windows 平台开发领域的地下协会。他们中许多人在领先的技术公司中工作,一些微软的员工甚至常在频道里为微软平台提供正式的帮助。 他们说,这里比任何一个硅谷园区都要好。 “ 除了不能提供资金, #Winprog 足以让多数科技孵化器羞愧, ” 这个频道的老鸟也是微软的顾问 Ben Knauss 说,他掌管过许多重大的软件项目,包括为早期 iPod 开发的软件。 “ [...]
08:00 2006/03/09 08:00:00TQ洽谈通搜索力指数排行榜 » TQ洽谈通搜索力指数
 搜索引擎  搜索力指数  排名升降  份额
1. Baidu  82601282     60.41%
2. Google  18915798     13.83%
3. 3721  15459562     11.31%
4. Yahoo  13328318     9.75%
5. Sogou  2419538     1.77%
6. QQ  1887718     1.38%
7. China  789882     0.58%
8. iAsk  609678     0.45%
9. 163  279394     0.20%
10. Zhongsou  249270     0.18%
11. Tom  193418     0.14%
Source favicon05:58 Update: Lane’s Gifts v. Google » Official Google Blog




You may remember that last February, Google was sued in Arkansas over what is commonly called click fraud. We’re very near a resolution in that case, so we thought we’d offer an update.



We’ve been discussing the case with the plaintiffs for some time and have recently come to an agreement with them which we believe is a good outcome for everyone involved. As a result, Google and the plaintiffs are going to ask the judge to approve the settlement, which would resolve the case.



Until the settlement is approved by the judge, it is not final. And the details are confidential, but will become public when it is formally filed for the judge’s consideration. However, we can share the major pieces of our proposed agreement.



Google currently allows advertisers to apply for reimbursement for clicks they believe are invalid. They can do this for clicks that happen during the 60 days prior to notifying Google. Under the agreement with the plaintiffs, we are going to open up that window for all advertisers, regardless of when the questionable clicks occurred. For all eligible invalid clicks, we will offer credits which can be used to purchase new advertising with Google. We do not know how many will apply and receive credits, but under the agreement, the total amount of credits, plus attorneys fees, will not exceed $90 million.



This agreement covers all advertisers who claim to have been charged but not reimbursed for invalid clicks dating from 2002 when we launched our “cost per click” advertising program through the date the settlement is approved by the judge.



For the finance folks out there wondering how we’ll account for this, we can say that the attorneys’ fees (which will be determined by the judge) will be charged as an expense, most likely in the first quarter, once the amount is determined. The credits will be recorded as a reduction to revenue in periods in which they are redeemed.



We have said for some time that we believe we manage the problem of invalid clicks very well. We have a large team of expert engineers and analysts devoted to it. By far, most invalid clicks are caught by our automatic filters and discarded *before* they reach an advertiser’s bill. And for the clicks that are not caught in advance, advertisers can notify Google and ask for reimbursement. We investigate those clicks, and if we determine they were invalid, we reimburse advertisers for them. We will continue to do that, and believe that this settlement is further proof of our willingness to work together with advertisers to reimburse invalid clicks.



You can find more information on invalid clicks and how we manage them here or here.



Update: Added second link to more information.
Source favicon03:57 Google Reference, a Wikipedia partnership? » Googling Google
Last February (2005) Google offered to host Wikimedia projects on their servers, but just as quickly as that news surfaced it seemed to disappear.  This "partnership" may be on the verge of getting more attention.It's not news that googlepedia.com is registered to Google and just over a year ago they offered to host some of [...]
Source favicon03:09 A real find » Official Google Blog




As a librarian and a Googler, I love the " Find it in a library " links we've added to many -- but not yet all -- of the titles in Google Book Search. While we work on getting these links rolled out for the rest of the books, at least one user has taken matters into his own hands: "Superpatron" Edward Vielmetti has written a Greasemonkey script for Firefox that enables him to see which books are available at his local library.



Since Google Book Search is all about helping you discover and locate books you never knew existed, it's especially gratifying to see people like Ed embracing and extending this mission.
Source favicon01:47 Massage Milk's disappearance: an April Fool's joke? » Danwei RSS 1.0

In an interview last night, Massage Milk told Danwei that his blog's disappearance was an early April Fool's joke (see earlier Danwei story for the background).

Hmm.

Milk Pig, another blog reported to have been disappereared, is also back in action. Both Massage Milk and Milk Pig are hosted on Yculblog.com. However the third blog mentioned in yesterday's Danwei report, Pro State in Flames is still not functioning.

Hmm.

In the meantime, the BBC has reported the story: China shuts down outspoken blog.

UPDATE: Contacted by telephone for an explanation, a Yculblog.com representative had this to say: "No comment".

Hmm. 有时候我真TM不懂这江湖的规矩。

UPDATE 2: According to Danwei sources, Pro State in Flames will be online again shortly. 真TM不懂!


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