18:31 对易迅和卓越的惊和叹 » laolu's blog

前天去宝山,参观易迅网的新办公场地,位于上海唯一的电子商务示范基地内,易迅的地方挺大(就是缺个吸烟室)。见到了两位老大,聆听了易迅三年多的历程,在几近完全红海的3C,易迅不仅存活,并能快速成长,还有独到的发展策略,而这一切,竟然是不靠风险投资、只靠自身实现的,很惊讶,很受益。

卓越网的“25元门”,给广大消费者上了一堂生动、真实的普法课。但法律常常不代表人心,不要说在一直追求法治中的中国,即便是在法律多如牛毛的美国,发生类似乌龙后这样简单处理的也很少。最近中国正在大范围整顿互联网,唯独商务部力推网络购物,目标是“到‘十二五’期末,力争网络购物交易额占我国社会消费品零售总额的比重提高到5%以上”。在这样的大好时机面前,卓越的草率,后果可能很严重,可谓亲者痛仇者快。作为卓越的老用户,叹息一下。亚马逊的老美们,既然你们来到中国,就要认真学习和领会党和国家的指导政策,不要只跟法律走、更要懂得跟党走,才有光明前途。

/* B to C的水真深。*/

 

Predictions for Google's 2010Google Operating System » 车东's shared items in Google Reader
1. Google Chrome's bookmark sync will be extended to sync the documents stored in Google Docs.

2. Google will launch a service that indexes and ranks web applications.

3. Google will use different interfaces for displaying search results, depending on your query.

4. Google's search engine will group related results.

5. Google Image Search will let you upload an image and will show related images from the web.

6. Google Street View's images will become searchable and Google will start to show information about different places in Street View.

7. Google will release an online development environment optimized for building web applications.

8. An open platform for search experiments: tweak Google's ranking factors, customize the interface and create a better search engine.

9. Android will have more users than Windows Mobile.

10. Many browsers will copy Google Chrome's features: the simplified interface, the rapid development model, the lightweight extensions, sandboxing, compiling JavaScript code.

11. Google Drive will finally launch, but it will only be an extended version of Google Docs. Instead of sending attachments, you'll be able to upload files to Google Drive from Gmail.

12. Google Wave won't become successful, but its features will be used in other Google products.

13. Google will buy True Knowledge and will launch a fact search engine.

14. Gmail's spam filtering algorithms will be more transparent and you'll be able to define custom rules for flagging messages as spam.

15. Google Trends will show popular web sites from different categories.

16. Google Desktop will be discontinued and replaced by Google Quick Search Box.

17. If you use Google Chrome, you'll be able to use the most important features of Chrome OS.

18. Google users will be able to add comments and start conversations if they want to find some information about a hot topic.

19. Google Toolbar will be available for Chrome and Google will start to bundle Chrome with Google Toolbar for IE.

20. Google will buy Spotify and make it available for free.
05:12 京东用户一年才下一单? » laolu's blog
京东公布的数据显示,其现在固定用户600万,每天的订单超过25000单,每天有超过1400万人登录京东。京东1000万单的成交金额为58亿元,每单接近600元。京东商城成立五年来,其年均增长速度达到300%,2009年的交易额预计将达到40亿元,2010年预计突破100亿元”。
 
1000万个订单总金额58亿,每单平均580元。
若09年交易额40亿,大约是690万个订单。
若固定用户600万,那么人均1.15单。
 
09年京东用户一年才下一单?(五年累计每个用户平均1000万/600万=1.67单)

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